This double story house in Fernwood (in Somerset West, not Newlands) is
on the market for a cool R2 400 000 and described as a 'wonderful investment opportunity'. It rents out for R9 000/month which means with a 100% bond monthly payments are R29844/month and the difference between rental and bond payment is a whopping R-20844. You'd lose close to R250 000 holding onto this while praying for +10% capital appreciation! Here's the payment and yield graph:
So paying in cash gets you a dismal 4.5% return on investment, less than half you'd get if you just left your money in the bank. You need R1.67 million (a hair under a 70% deposit) just to break even on cash flow and with a 50% downpayment you still need 2.96% capital appreciation to not lose any money. Take off rate, levies (sure to be huge for a house this size in an estate), maintenance and vacancy and that 4.5% ROI starts sliding down
Here's a 3 bed house for sale in Fernwood for R12.5 million. If anyone thinks the bubble is over, back in 2006 (seriously that's like the fourth article we ever wrote for this blog) it was on the market for R6.5 million.
